Drafts & essays

AI · measurement · baseball

Working essay

LLM systems need evaluation before they need mythology

The practical question is not whether a model feels intelligent. It is whether the workflow is measurable, bounded, and worth trusting for the task at hand.

Working essay

Why healthcare analytics starts with data contracts, not dashboards

Claims, registry, and EHR-derived systems only become useful when the definitions underneath them are stable enough for operators to act on.

Working essay

Baseball is still one of the best laboratories for uncertainty

Forecasting baseball performance forces you to confront variance, calibration, model drift, and the limits of narrative confidence in a way that transfers surprisingly well to other domains.